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Crude Oil Prices Surge Above $100 Mark Again; Aluminum Expected to Rise on the 25th

Crude oil prices have once again surged past the $100 mark, driving the commodity market higher. Overnight, London aluminum showed strength, closing with a gain of 1.31% at $2,251 per ton, up $29, with trading volume decreasing by 2,166 lots to 16,833 lots and open interest decreasing by 833 lots to 630,899 lots. Shanghai aluminum performed strongly in the evening session, with the main contract for September closing at 19,445 yuan per ton, up 115 yuan, or 0.59%.

On September 22, the latest LME aluminum inventory was reported at 482,300 metric tons, a decrease of 1,250 metric tons from the previous trading day, down 0.26%.

On September 22, the spot price of aluminum in China was as follows: the comprehensive spot price of AOO aluminum ingots in the Yangtze River was 19,745 yuan per ton, up 90 yuan per ton, while the AOO aluminum ingot price in East China Aluminum was 19,740 yuan per ton, up 90 yuan. Domestic aluminum ingot supply is tight, downstream pre-holiday stocking has increased, and there is lower inventory support for Shanghai aluminum. In addition, expectations of improving aluminum ingot demand have gradually strengthened, improving the supply-demand structure in the aluminum market and supporting the continued strength in aluminum prices.

At the same time, the domestic real estate market policy is warming up, and the production and sales data of new energy vehicles remain strong, boosting the outlook for aluminum demand in the automotive sector. This is providing momentum for the upward movement of aluminum prices, and it is expected that aluminum prices will rise today.

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